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The Beginning of the End of Java As We Know It? "Microsoft couldn't have executed a better divide-and-conquer war plan than the one that's being handed to it on a silver platter." David Berlind writes that in a future dominated by vendor-independent web services standards, the divisive Sun-dominated Java world is a ball and chain around IBM, keeping it from otherwise competing with unencumbered Microsoft. [Source: ZDNet]
18 months ago I wrote an essay, Microsoft v. Java and Détente in which I similarly suggested that web services reduce the value of platform ownership to near zero. For instance, "As cell phones and PDAs become commodities, the value of device-resident software (such as operating systems, games, and other programs that run within the devices) will approach zero. Few people will pay more for a Java-based phone than for one that isn't. But the value of extra-cost and remotely hosted services for those devices will continue to increase. These services include mobile e-commerce (m-commerce), instant messaging (IM), location-based services (LBS) such as advertising-driven restaurant finders, and many others."
Posted Friday, December 26, 2003 4:56:14 AM
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